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domain:worksinprogress.co

Here's a normal X link for people who want one.

but a lot of the terminally online right-wing personalities don't look very different that the terminally online left-wing to me.

Like who? Lomez and Raw Egg Nationalist got doxxed and they look like normal dudes.

Redditors are blaming Orange Man for DOGE's cuts to NOAA and NWS which they claimed contributed to the loss of life. I'd be less skeptical if this didn't sound almost exactly like the claims that Orange Man's cuts to the CDC caused grandma to die of Covid. From what I can tell, the flood deaths were mainly due to (1) the county not having a [modern?] warning system, (2) the camp leader not erring on the side of caution to evacuate [to be fair, this was a 100 year flood], and (3) the flood happening in the middle of the night. Did I miss anything?

Also, please say a quick prayer for the families of the victims if you're the praying type.

If America isn't clever enough, organised enough or stable enough to compete with China on an even footing, why should it be in charge of the globe?

Because the comparison isn't America to some hypothetical perfect country. It's a comparison to China, and China's government is pretty shitty. If you have to choose between China and America and you're not in the Politburo, America is loads better even if you don't like some of the things America does.

I would argue that there are important differences here. A central example of Taqiyya seems to be to pay lip service to whatever religion the local strongman tells you to follow. At the worst, this creates an ambiguity about whom of the locals are still faithful to Shia Islam.

The grand ayatollah proclaiming false doctrine would be much more serious than that, because it would create ambiguity about the teaching of Shia Islam.

Indeed, WP states (My emphasis) :

By Shia, acting according to religion is incumbent on every one, but if the expression of a belief endanger one's life, honor and property, he can conceal his belief as the verse 16: 106 implies. It is as a weapon for the weak before the tyrants.[186] If Dissimulation cause the disappearance of the religion or the fundamentals of the religion, it is forbidden and Muslims are to give up their lives but if there is no advantage in their being killed, it is to dissimulate. There is no place for Dissimulation regarding the teaching of the doctrines of the religion.[187]

Obviously, this is also doctrine, so if a religion allowed preaching false doctrine, this would be suspect. Realistically, clerics will balance temporal advantages and the need to keep their faithful unified. If pretending to be anti-nuke had caused the world to send tons of HEU to Iran and sped along their nuclear weapon program by two decades, then perhaps a cleric might be tempted to proclaim false doctrine (at the cost of his followers forever worrying if he and his successors mean what they preach).

But the world predictably did not update on the fatwa a lot, it being proclaimed was not the difference between life and death for Iran. Not worth setting up a precedent weakening religious unity for.

Is that a zone that historically floods?

It's part of an area called "Flash Flood Alley". So I think your most relevant question is

If it was reasonably foreseeable what was the plan to mitigate this risk and why did it fail?

This statistics-laden article is applicable to Duolicious, a free (gratis and libre) dating website recently developed by a 4channer.

I like that he referenced Tertullian in relation to the mystery of the Mass, in criticizing evangelical worship for being insufficiently mysterious and reverent.

Does anyone have any good links to blogs or posts about how to use dating apps optimally? I figure someone has this stuff figured out

Finishing The Possibility of an Island, which has been mostly excellent. It’s plays with the ideas of Elementary Particles a bit less successfully, but it’s still Houellebecq and therefore still funny and romantic and sad. I’ll be officially finished with the œuvre and slightly heartbroken when I’m done.

If a "genocide" is still ongoing after 4 generations it's not much of a "genocide" is it?

Because if it’s rebuilt it’s like a whole thing. Sacrifices have to resume daily etc. And just the idea of the holiest of holies land becoming contaminated is a dissonant thought.

I think the combination of overeducated and over sensitive people (quite often women, but not always) and social media are creating a dystopian society in which anything that might bother anyone anywhere must be removed and destroyed. This destroys even the chance of social bonding because unless you can actually go out and do fun things with an exclusive group, you can’t form close relationships. These people need to find their own jobs and hobbies and fix whatever is broken in them that turns them into scolds the minute anyone starts having fun.

As a non-American, I find the notion that America should permanently kneecap anyone who might contest their dominance very off-putting. If America isn't clever enough, organised enough or stable enough to compete with China on an even footing, why should it be in charge of the globe?

I would also argue that even America benefits from having an actual rival that can go toe-to-toe with it. When America was competing with the USSR, it had to be focused and cohesive and attractive to its citizens. When the USSR died and the USA was left without rivals, it seems to me that it sickened and started to alternate between flailing around and infighting. (The same of course applies to China in reverse).

Why would it be impossible to rebuild the temple on Temple Mount if it's nuked? Just have the builders wear hazard suits.

I'm not sure I'd put this on kids or parenting attitudes. The important questions here are:

How foreseeable was this flooding? Is that a zone that historically floods? What was the worst ever flood there? Was this not the worst, only a bit worse than the worst ever, or like completely out of proportion with anything that ever happened in the area?

If it was reasonably foreseeable what was the plan to mitigate this risk and why did it fail?

And finally, if it was foreseeable and the plan was inadequate, whose idea was it to let kids in a vulnerable area there?

In Project B, create a Private Connectivity Configuration under DMS → Private connectivity. Select the VPC from Project A that holds your source instance’s private IP

IIRC Gemini gave me this too. It's correct except this one line, where it hallucinates that it's possible to select a VPC from another project (you can't), and therefore the whole set of instructions are useless.

  1. AFAIK noone claims that fireworks are deadly for dogs - rather that they are distressing and unpleasant

  2. AFAIK Ukrainians (1) care about people hurt in attacks (2) they took serious actions to reduce rate of this happening

I smell a psy-op.

likely it is not psy-op but deranged dog-lovers treating them as children and/or people caring about dogs and valuing them over enjoyment of fireworks

plus impotent and ineffective attempt to target assholes launching fireworks at utterly random hours


why you expect psy-op?

East Asian women were the first counter-example that came to mind for me. Do white women tend to win out over them when it comes to revealed preferences?

80+ dead and rising in Central Texas floods.

Kerr County is the Summer Camp capital of Texas. It's rugged hill country terrain and proximity to the Guadelupe River is perfect for exotic adventures outdoors, and it is close enough to major population centers to be convenient for parents to drop-off their children.

The downside is that low-lying cabins get completely wiped out in flood events. Camp Mystic for girls has double-digit casualties alone.

It is a common refrain to bemoan the fact that, "we don't let kids be kids anymore," and that may be true, but a big part of it is that we as a society simply don't consider the inherent risks acceptable anymore. I shudder to think about making 10-year-olds sit through a 30-minute site-specific emergency preparedness seminar, but that's where this is going, and given what's happened, I'm not entirely sure it would be a bad thing.

It is confounded to extreme with various factors.

IMHO neither of people looks repulsive (taking into account that maximally uncharitable stills were taken)

I can assure you that less flattering Trump/Putin/Macron/erc images can be found it and it also proves nothing.

Nuclear threats are for deterrence. You want the other country afraid to risk it. Israel’s highly religious minority cannot risk the grounds of the Temple Mount becoming contaminated, because it is unequivocally essential for their end of times prophecies. The entire religion is predicated on the Messiah returning and the Temple being rebuilt on these grounds. Some Haredi even believe that the Shechina is especially found at the Western Wall:

The real reason why the Western Wall was not destroyed was not the one that counts midrash – the reality is that the general assigned to demolish it was incapable of doing so. O midrash reveals that the Western Wall remained standing thanks to an oath from G-d promising its eternal survival. And, in fact, it teaches that the Divine Presence never withdrew from the Western Wall

When nuclear weapons are being launched, no one cares about offending someone’s sensibilities (lol). The threat may be enough to cause the ultra religious population of Israel to take a more diplomatic approach to Iran, unless their foolishness is the thing that causes the impossibility of their religious prophecy. That would be a big deal. An example of how serious they treat this stuff — the infamous tunnel under Chabad in NYC was to fulfill Rebbe Schneerson’s wish to attach two buildings together. So the literal world Chabad headquarters built a secret tunnel underneath Manhattan to connect the two buildings, and rioted when the police put an end to it, in order to fulfill the will of the Rebbe.

Iran should obviously see their current predicament as one of civilizational survival. Are they going to surrender to Israel for the rest of time, having no ability to ever fight back because of the pace of technological development, or are they going to try to retain sovereignty over their land? I know that if I were Iran, i would be nuke-maxxing and doing whatever it takes to ensure I have sovereignty in my country. Even if it is “offensive”

The whole city is not within the limits of the Temple Mount, and nuclear weapons are made in different magnitudes. So this could conceivably be accomplished with negligible loss of life.

They can't be the new Fedoras - some women actually like them