domain:alethios.substack.com
What? It’s very obviously not illegal to enter an intersection with a yellow light. The light changes from green to yellow with no warning. There are situations where it is physically impossible to brake that fast. I assume you mean “when safe?” But that gives a lot of cover to the defendant.
I’m personally more familiar with the implicit law, which is that yellows are timed such that they stay on long enough for drivers going a reasonable speed to come to a complete stop while braking comfortably before it goes red. So when the light changes, you either don’t have enough time to brake comfortably and smoothly pass the yellow before it turns, have enough time to stop and do so, or break the law by either running a red or jam on the gas to get through - which is, of course, both speeding and reckless driving.
Reading the opinion, Russell was driving above the 55mph speed limit. I’ll allow that his speed was more like 70 than it was 60. He was apparently 200ish feet from the intersection when he noticed the yellow. If so, that’s on the order of 2 seconds to come to a complete stop, unless I’m doing my math wrong. 55 gives you another half second. That’s a slam on the brakes situation, not a reasonable halt. At that point, it seems like either Russell was derelict in not watching for the light until too late, or else he could not stop safely even at the posted limit when the light turned and was totally in his rights to proceed. I’m surprised this doesn’t show up in the opinion. Were they expecting him to burn rubber because it flicked yellow?
@ToaKraka ‘s summary is outright incorrect in one place, in fact, and the truth makes the situation even more redeeming for Russell. The summary says that Jasmine was stopping at the red. The opinion says that SHE WAS ENTERING THE INTERSECTION BECAUSE SHE DID NOT BELIEVE SHE COULD STOP SAFELY, and at time of the crash, was ABOUT TO ENTER THE INTERSECTION (presumably yellow at the time). So why is Russell more at fault here for entering an intersection which the plaintiff was herself entering even later? Reading the opinion, they keep talking about the plaintiff being a young mother and go into great detail on the injuries. I suspect that’s the reason, and perhaps also that they didn’t expect the ex-con who actually caused the crash to be able to pay a cent.
If I were on this jury I’d probably hang it. This looks a hell of a lot like a miscarriage of justice to me. The appeal court, I judge less strongly. They’re right to defer heavily to the jury. But putting 60% on Russell seems crazy. Splitting in reverse would make more sense. But given that the appellate opinion states that the decision hinges in part on the fact that Russell did not testify mitigating factors like whether he considered whether he could stop safely, I wonder whether this whole mess is just the product of a lawyer gap between the parties.
EDIT: spent a minute looking at car crash videos to try and gauge how fast Russell might have been traveling in order to absolutely crush the woman’s car. Assuming he was traveling at 70 and lost half of his momentum hitting the truck, he and she would have collided at a combined speed of 80mph. 55mph crashes with a stationary object are enough to start compromising the cabin. 80 is, as far as I can tell, kill you dead territory. Bringing this down to 70 would probably still be enough. So I’m not sure that the prosecution’s assertion that he must have been driving in safely holds water. But of course that’s right back to the question of whether the lawyers brought proper receipts on the basic math here. Messy stuff, honestly makes highway driving sound a lot less appealing.
I mean obviously there is a major qualitative difference between an LLM's capabilities and Google's. I don't even think Google counts as knowledge work, because it's just a fancy directory with a math formula to rank pages. The alternative was basically a directory or keyword search, neither of which require knowledge work either to assemble or run. And critically, Google is free to use, so it's an exceptionally poor example to choose.
Just the ability of an LLM to summarize documents that you feed it is already enough, in my mind, for it to count as a kind of knowledge work. I hinted at that phrasing for a reason, if you check wikipedia's entry for "knowledge workers" you'll see that it's more or less people who are thinking for a living, and reducing the job to simply that of "looking the right stuff up" is significantly underselling it. A lawyer for example is not merely an information processing algorithm, even if her job may be primarily finding the relevant court case precedents and then applying them in systematic fashion to partial boilerplate motions and filings. It takes a degree of contextual understanding along with a degree of judgement to produce the proper output, and those elements are missing from Google entirely (at least in its traditional and early iterations, since the precise algorithms are highly proprietary, but I don't think this changes the core categorization)
OliveTapenade
15hr ago
Muslims circumcise themselves as well. Muslim Palestinians are just as circumcised as Jewish Israelis, so that doesn't function as a tribal distinction any more.
RandomRanger
Just build nuclear plants!
15hr ago
We're already in a world full of violent, sadistic grapists. How much sillier can it get?
EverythingIsFine
Well, is eventually fine
15hr ago
The VG movie (actually I lied there are actually two but one is more a side-story) is actually more of an epilogue of sorts, so I'd strongly recommend watching or trying the series first instead. IIRC the show starts to truly get going by the third episode (and if you're the impatient type you could honestly start there and be OK), but the most memorable and highest rated ones are a little back-loaded in the season.
I've tried a few episodes of Dungeon Meshi but it didn't really hook me, so I can't speak to the praise there.
However, with Frieren I'd say two episodes is the minimum to get a proper feel (concludes a bit of a mini-arc), although the story (such as it is) doesn't properly take shape until the fourth episode and we don't meet the last major companion travelling with Frieren until the fifth, so although I'd still consider it excellent it is very much a slow burn, contemplative kind of show. With that said, it makes the smaller pieces of action even more memorable, but they are still sparse. Somewhat famously, in episode seven or so, we find out that although the show doesn't have an actual big bad (the major plot after all is that she already helped save the world) there are still a few demons out and about that didn't get defeated along with their leader. These demons are worse than irredeemable (in fact they pretend to have emotions and feelings to disguise their true identity as pure predators of humanity) which at least in anime terms is a bit of a trope reversal.
None of that is to say that a certain minimum is required for most shows, but you know how it is, "will I like this" is a tricky question to answer anime or no. One of the only anime where I'd consider it truly mandatory is My Star (Oshi no Ko) where the first episode is a full hour or so on purpose, knowing that you need the full time for it to make sense (also a fun show, about the dark side of the entertainment/movie industry, saying more is a spoiler) because of said major spoiler that changes the course of the show entirely occurring at the end of it. I think Madoka Magica is classically the other, where episode 3 or so has a major twist, but I haven't seen it myself so I couldn't say.
OracleOutlook
Fiat justitia ruat caelum
15hr ago
For the demand thing, it's not like the first time I tell her to do something causes a melt down. If it was that clear-cut, it would probably be easier to figure out. I can tell her to put on her shoes 10 days in a row and on the 11th day she panics, keeps taking off and putting her socks on, runs away, something weird.
And it can be asking her to do something she wants to do. There are lots of times where I plan something nice for her, something she's familiar with and knows she likes, and then when the time comes to do it she starts to act scared without being able to articulate why. "Something bad is going to happen." No, why would you think that!
Now that I have PDA in mind, it has been helping to understand some things. In Bluey, there is an episode where there's a "Magic Stuffed Animal" who makes the Dad do whatever the kids say. Kind of like Simon Says. My 6 year old and my 7 year old started playing that game together. My 7 year old was really into it for a few minutes, and then suddenly reacted violently to the stuffed animal. Before it would have been exhibit #100 of what a weird child she is. Now I'm like, "Maybe A shouldn't play that game."
SkoomaDentist
15hr ago
Said no competent engineer outside software engineering.
Oh man. In contrast, I'm constantly juggling work from multiple clients and find myself exhausted when the weekend rolls around, yet I still get the sense that I'm not doing enough/working fast enough/taking on as many new jobs as I should. I'm a tax accountant, and most of what I do is annoyingly detail-oriented work where even the smallest slip-up can attract the attention of the tax office and negatively impact a client (even when the problem was caused by the tax office themselves in the first place, yes they fucking suck and I could write a whole essay about how shit they are). The regulatory landscape also constantly changes. The staff are assigned production targets to meet, and whether one can do so or not hugely impacts on evaluations of their performance. Towards the end of the week I find my ability to concentrate goes to shit; one can only maintain proper executive functioning for so long, and I wasn't extremely good at that in the first place.
The kind of people this job attracts are of a certain breed. My manager recently had to rush over to China because her grandmother was dying of cancer, and even when she was on leave there she was still responding to work emails every now and then. I don't think I'm cut out for this level of grind in a job, and as a result constantly feel like I'm going to get fired. I spend the weekend not working on hobbies or doing anything I actually like but just recovering, or doing some extra work that I don't record on my timesheet in order to make my efficiency look better (then struggling through the following work week while cursing my life). My hobbies have fallen by the wayside, I don't read nearly as much, and my engagement on TheMotte has nosedived as a result. I wish my job was more chill.
George_E_Hale
insufferable blowhard
16hr ago
That would require me to examine my preferences in depth, and I'm not sure I'll produce an acceptable reason to anime fans. Basically it's never been a genre I've sought out. I appreciate manga for the artwork, and it drives me nuts seeing people now scroll so quickly through the panels. Short answer is probably I'm old.
Quantumfreakonomics
16hr ago
Besides paper trails, the other key is knowing where to apply pressure. Pharmacies don't care about patient reviews. Every pharmacy is below 3-stars on Google. You have nothing to threaten them with from being pissed. The entity the pharmacy can't afford to piss off is the insurance company, and insurance companies have a legal obligation to provide medical care to policy holders. If their in-network providers are unable to provide medical care to patients, that's the insurance company's problem, and in turn they will quickly make it the pharmacy's problem.
dr_analog
top 1% of underdog fetishists
16hr ago
when @JTarrou writes
But IQ is a very limited test, and it predicts only one thing. The capacity for academic achievement. It does not predict talent, ambition, honesty, decency, morality, high income or high achievement in general. In fact, the true IQ test can only be given to small children, because it's a relative predictor of how they might do in school in the future, nothing else. Higher IQ scores mean essentially "learns academic stuff faster".
and
So if black people have lower average IQ scores, and IQ scores college aptitude, and we're discriminating based on college degrees........I think we can locate rather precisely where the systemic racism is happening.
I think he's saying college degrees are not a signal for merit. The fact that our society reorganized itself to require a college degree, and that black people have a harder time getting college degrees is a sign of real systemic racism at work and leftists are to blame because they eat college degree credentialism shit up.
It's a provocative claim because it's both embracing race-IQ but also dismissing IQ as not that solid a predictor. Therefore I'm asking if he'd be okay with actually just giving degrees out with participation trophy energy.
dr_analog
top 1% of underdog fetishists
16hr ago
the way I parse JTarrou's argument, the degree is already not good for anything that useful
ActuallyATleilaxuGhola
Axolotl Tank Class of '24
16hr ago
Even as a tattoo hater, I have to admit that this is pretty neat.
FtSoA
16hr ago
Because (A) I've seen JTarrou post in that sub and (B) it's a sub that allows wrongthink. Usually trans wrongthink, but it's actually a pretty solid free speech zone.
fribble
16hr ago
In your position, I would pursue it. You can gather information without doing anything. You can take the babiest of steps as you want to. It can be really weird what works with kids.
Does your kid react to all demands in the same way? If I told my kid she had to put on sneakers before we could go to the park, she would lose her mind. But if I said we could go to the park but "the rules" said we needed to put on sneakers, that was different. She also loved racing, so we would both put on sneakers and see who could do it the fastest. Or race against a timer.
This sounds like a real tough situation. FWIW, ADHD meds worked wonders for my kid and in retrospect I wish I had gotten her started on them sooner. I waited til middle school, figuring scaffolding her environment and plenty of physical activity were working. They weren't. Her self esteem took a beating.
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
16hr ago
It’s not just social media, but regular media, education and control mechanisms like the ability for you to be fired for saying something online, or convincing others to shun friends and even family who say things that the regime doesn’t like. Americans are saturated in propaganda and unless you’re paying attention you probably don’t even notice it.
2rafa
16hr ago
I wouldn’t say epistemically corrupt so much as irrelevant and childish. If an entire social circle in 1895 imagined hypothetical problems that might emerge from their fantasy of powered flight and then, come 1903, tried to graft that theoretical foundation (which was wholly wrong about how the mechanics would actually work, and indeed didn’t think very much about the mechanics at all) onto the plane as it was being developed, they would have been dismissed.
MaiqTheTrue
Renrijra Krin
16hr ago
If the degree is so watered down anyone can get one, what good is it?
self_made_human
Grippy socks, grippy box
17hr ago
Taking those figures at face value, 50% of people die by the age of 78 (that's what life expectancy is, after all). I don't have actuarial tables at hand either, but that also implies that a significant fraction of the survivors then go on to make it to their 80s. Women also live longer on average.
MathWizard
Good things are good
17hr ago
I score INTJ half the time and INTP half the time, so I'm like right on the threshold of J/P, but the INT are pretty strong.
It is obvious that it's NOT just pseudoscience (in the way that astrology is), otherwise we wouldn't see so many real correlations. Also every woman I've ever been seriously interested in beyond surface level attraction, including my wife, has been INTx.
What it isn't is some sort of scientific causal phenomenon where your brain is somehow biologically born as one of these types and they then cause you to exhibit external behaviors. It's a classification scheme. A compression algorithm. It asks you how introverted, extroverted, emotional etc etc you are in a bunch of ways and then condenses that into four letters so you can communicate more concisely without sharing your entire 50 question response with everybody you meet. I can just say "INTJ" and someone else says "INTJ" or "INTP" and I'm like "oh, we probably have a lot in common" and then we do.
Lizzardspawn
17hr ago
Thick of It
Watch The New Statesman. This is the best British political comedy.
yofuckreddit
17hr ago
This. Each winter I bemoan the dearth of raw public sexuality at the hands of an oppressive culture. In the summer I celebrate heat's power to exhibit the nubile.
Another advantage to living in the south and being capable of exercising in the apex of the day: the women jogging from 1-3 PM are very serious about being in shape and are shiny from a distance.
hahaha welcome to imposter syndrome sucker!
but no really, overindexing on all of the ways you think you suck and how crazy your brain is is generally a sign of intelligence and competence
not that you'll believe any of this
More options
Context Copy link