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PaperclipPerfector  11mo ago (text post)   32447 thread views

Culture War Roundup for the week of May 1, 2023

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Covid global health emergency is over, WHO says

Yes, I know, Covid "has been over" for well over a year, pretty much no-one cares about this topic anyway, but I wonder if we'll now start more getting full appraisals of the entire Covid period. It is bewildering to consider how little people (apart from the two formed and ongoing "Covid tribes" - lockdown/vaccine skeptics on one hand, zero-covidists still wearing masks on the other hand) care about Covid now, considering how large it loomed for two years. For instance, I watched some Finnish election debates a few months ago, and the dire financial/general status of the health care system was frequently discussed with almost no mentions and indications that the Covid crisis and the decisions done during this period might have had anything to do with it.

What are all the ways people here would say the pandemic era changed the world? I don't think that all the effects will be visible or evident for years to come - there will yet be a lot of stuff where people in ten years might say "of course the Covid era changed that" but isn't properly yet considered to be a Covid effect.

When I was quite young, I adopted the stereotypical pretentious reddit fedora mentality - other people are just dumb sheeple who follow the herd, I'm smarter than them, I'm an independent thinker, etc. As I got a little older I softened on that. I thought, well that's not really fair, people generally do try their best and everyone has a reason for acting the way they do, I shouldn't be so arrogant as to think that I'm all that different from them.

But Covid kinda tanked my assessment of humanity in general and I'm back to thinking that most people really are just dumb sheeple who follow the herd. Covid was empirical proof of that. The media really can just turn mass sentiment on or off, like flipping a switch, and people will go along with it because it's "the right thing to do". Turn the switch on, and people who are ordinarily perfectly reasonable are frothing at the mouth saying you're killing grandma, you're a menace to society, you're a dirty plague rat. Turn the switch off and it's all forgotten. Like it never even happened. They don't even think about it anymore. How can I trust that they have any deeply held convictions or principles at all, if the sentiment comes and goes that easily?

Granted, people have always believed dumb things throughout history. Mass psychosis has existed for as long as we've had mass society. So, taking a broad enough view, Covid didn't really teach us anything new. But I do think it was possibly the first example that showed how spectacularly easy it is to manipulate mass sentiment in the social media age. At least communism required a commitment on your part; it demanded that you have skin in the game for the long haul. Now the political flow of society can be turned on or off like a faucet, they can direct people over here one day and over there the next, running everyone ragged because they're deathly afraid of not getting enough likes on their TikToks from The Right People or whatever the hell it is that kids worry about these days.

With each passing year, reality does more and more to chip away at my faith in the inherent nobility of the human spirit. I'm bitter about it.

Turn the switch on, and people who are ordinarily perfectly reasonable are frothing at the mouth saying you're killing grandma, you're a menace to society, you're a dirty plague rat.

Do they really?

One thing the pandemic taught me is that people's experiences vary a lot by the country or state or city, but still, do they really?

Here, we had everyone masking in shops etc without much grumbling, like, all right, why not. But I remember exactly one case of a guy asking me to keep the distance and it was so weird, like dude, you actually take it that seriously? And he was apologetic asking me to step back, rather than frothing at the mouth.

So: it's entirely possible that my experience is completely different from your experience. But on the other hand I can't help but suspect that my IRL and online experiences respectively are actually very much the same as yours, but I'm better at discriminating between the two and dismissing online crazies as not representative of the people.

I actually had someone ask me from across the street, “Where’s your mask?”

I said back, “It’s in the car. I didn’t expect to encounter anyone between parking my car and my front door.” He apologized and walked on.

With each passing year, reality does more and more to chip away at my faith in the inherent nobility of the human spirit. I'm bitter about it.

A few weeks ago, my girlfriend complained that I'm too cynical. I retorted that it's hard for me not to feel cynical about humanity when I now know that tens of thousands of my fellow countrymen so greatly prefer working from home over going into the office, that they're completely fine with throwing tens of thousands of their fellow countrymen out of work indefinitely if it means they get to keep working from home. And not merely throwing these people out of work, but actively scorning them as selfish anti-vaxxer far-right granny-murderers when they have the nerve to (perfectly understandably) complain about being out of work through no fault of their own.

This was my first firsthand exposure to the kind of pathological selfishness of the PMC. I thought it didn't exist outside of Bret Easton Ellis novels. I was wrong.

Which heuristic serves better across all fields at all times: trusting the establishment and the experts

or: trusting contrarians and heretics?

The rational, logical thing to do is to follow the consensus and not waste your lifespan shoveling what might be sand.

Unless you one derives pleasure from their motte adjacent activities WE are the stupid ones; wasting our lives arguing about how many angels will fit on the head of a pin.

Surely this trust is modulated by how apparently competent the regime is. Every Soviet citizen knew that the one guy who believed the propaganda was a rube, however compliant they acted.

In regards to following the official line, I knew a lady in my kids school community who was a staunch masker, pro-vaccine, whatever it takes person. Eventually covid regulations ended, her daughter got sick with a second bought of covid and she had her daughter back within a week despite symptoms... It wasn't covid she was acting against rationally but just going with the official line...

But Covid kinda tanked my assessment of humanity in general and I'm back to thinking that most people really are just dumb sheeple who follow the herd. Covid was empirical proof of that. The media really can just turn mass sentiment on or off, like flipping a switch, and people will go along with it because it's "the right thing to do". Turn the switch on, and people who are ordinarily perfectly reasonable are frothing at the mouth saying you're killing grandma, you're a menace to society, you're a dirty plague rat. Turn the switch off and it's all forgotten. Like it never even happened. They don't even think about it anymore.

Like others, I also identify with this sentiment and I feel like I could have written this exact thing. However, maybe that shouldn't be surprising. After all, we're both on the Motte. As a rule, I try to never believe in my own exceptionalism, or the exceptionalism of any group I'm a part of. It's just too easy to think that you're special, or that you're right. Surely there must be tons of other groups that would point at us and claim we're hypocrites due to some rubric that we're not even aware of.

I empathize with your sentiment but I think it's a little bit uncharitable, I mean people had a valid right to be afraid of the virus as well. My father was high risk and ended up dying from it, so to paint everyone who freaked out about the virus as a sheeple is slightly insulting, though I realize that for the majority of people they didn't have nearly as much reason to worry. I also wonder if you're living in a blue tribe setting or somewhere outside the US as the response from where I was in a more rural area wasn't nearly as sheeple-y as your post seems to indicate, plenty of people were rolling their eyes the entire time in the small town I was living in

Being terrified of Covid in March 2020, when it was a largely unknown quantity, is understandable. Being willing to experiment with drastic and unproven measures to combat the spread of the virus was likewise understandable at that time.

But no one can trot out that defense for their behaviour in, say, March 2021. By that point we knew just about everything important about the virus and what NPIs were effective at combatting it that we were ever going to.

Enacting a lockdown in March 2020 is an understandable and forgiveable overreaction to an unknown quantity. Enacting a lockdown in March 2021 is a pointless and self-destructive exercise in cruelty which should land its architects in the dock in the Hague.

Nonsensical covid restrictions caused serious harm to my kids (and ultimately caused financial harm as we changed a lot of things to get our kids out of a stifling covid environment which was really hard to find in our neck of the woods). I don’t want to sound callous but the old have always died from viruses. That is sad. I mean this sincerely that it sucks your dad died and I wish that didn’t happen (my dad died though not from covid). But the reason so many are (were?) pissed off is that we didn’t really do anything to stop those deaths; instead we just imposed harms on society and specifically the the youngest with basically zero benefit. I will have a party the day Fauci and Randi die. Hell will gain two citizens.

People who supported restrictions were not merely "afraid" but actively calling for mass violence to be committed against dissenters like myself. Most notably, my repeated false imprisonment. If anything I think I am often too charitable.

False imprisonment? Please explain.

Surely lockdowns. House arrest without trial.

I'm sure that's what he means, but note bene that non-zero people were literally imprisoned (like, in prison) for protesting. Here in Canada we have folks still facing charges and living under blatantly unconstitutional court orders restricting them from contact with other dissents among other things:

https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/freedom-convoy-organizer-faces-additional-charge-over-tiktok-video-advising-horn-blowing-1.6352722

I acknowledge that Covid was an actual disease that actually killed people. But for most of the people who got swept up in Covid safetyism, what they were really responding to was the media campaign, not the underlying empirical facts about the disease itself. That was the core of my complaint.

Covid is still killing people - why aren't we still in lockdown? If reducing deaths from communicable airborne illnesses is a terminal value, why don't we have lockdowns and mask mandates and vaccine mandates every flu season? The major difference between the Covid lockdown era, and the time periods before and after it, is the force of the public propaganda campaign. That was the real operative factor. I didn't think that so many people would be so responsive to that campaign, but they were.

I also wonder if you're living in a blue tribe setting

Yes, deep blue. It was inescapable here, impossible not to notice anytime you set foot outside.

Why did we have that strong a media reaction to it? Real question, I honestly have no idea why this became what it was still.

A few reasons:

1: To cover up the fact that our CDC had directly funded the production of the Covid virus, in conjunction with the Chicoms, and it had gotten out. That's bad for China, bad for the US, bad for the CDC, and bad for Fauci.

2: Trump was president yet, and it was an opportunity to tank the economy and change a bunch of election rules to get him out of office. Worked, sort of. Even with all that they barely scraped out a "win".

3: The sheer hatred and contempt the PMC has for normie americans, and their delight in punishing them for the actions and paranoias of the PMC.

But those don't really explain the global strong media reaction.

That's easy. They're all psychological colonies of whatever the US PMC thinks.

Fuck's sake, Finland holds BLM rallies.

You're all living in America.

https://youtube.com/watch?v=Rr8ljRgcJNM

https://www.fininst.uk/events/black-lives-matter/

https://finlandtoday.fi/over-3000-people-join-the-black-lives-matter-protest-in-helsinki-i-am-so-very-proud-of-finland-says-organizer/

https://www.euronews.com/2020/07/08/finland-investigates-complaints-of-police-participation-in-black-lives-matter-protest

For what it's worth I think the Irish PMC has a comparable degree of contempt for the working-class Irish, which they dress up with progressivism in much the same way as their US counterparts.

Beats me.

It gave people a lot of outward symbols to latch onto, behaviors you could use to signal your allegiance - the mask, the vaccine card, staying at home. Participating in those rituals felt good, and it helped sustain the memeplex. That was definitely part of it.

It also gave people an excuse to stay at home, watch netflix and avoid social interactions.

There was a "deadly variant" in NYC during that 11 week period in early 2020, but it was not a "deadly covid variant," it was a deadly treatment protocol and behavior by NYC healthcare workers.

And the media fear narrative only amplified the heinous treatment of covid+ patients (or at least those suspected of or finally popped + at those hospitals by healthcare workers.

If you see two places in the entire world which had a magnitude worse outcome at the same time nearby places with the same demographics do not have those outcomes, trying to claim it was caused by a "deadly variant" virus is nonsense because it requires you to believe the virus is incredibly infections, avg death being over 2 weeks post symptoms, but also didn't spread outside of NYC or northern Italy to nearby areas with similar demographics, density (an also debunked correlative variable), etc.

83% of all covid-blamed deaths in NYC in 2020 were in hospitals in an 11 week period. For an "incredibly deadly variant," you would see far more people dying at home instead of what happened which was people with suspected covid would be isolated, dangerously drugged, mechanically ventilated, and then let die with very little care from healthcare workers as they drowned in their own fluids from bacterial pneumonia without antibiotic treatment.

But if you lived there then, as I did, it was scary as fuck and you likely knew a lot of people who were very ill and some who died.

I commuted regularly to NYC for work for weeks-months at a time and had a front-row seat as the city whipped itself up in a panic glued to their computers and tvs and swallowed everything being fed to them. Luckily for me, I was able to avoid getting anywhere near NYC for the duration of the hysteria. The best NYers can say is they were duped and fell for it.

I’m not sure that is actually true. NY was ventilating people left and right. We learned that was probably counter productive. That is, I’m not sure the virus killed 4x the normal rate but the virus + Iatrogenesis.

It was scary in the first few weeks. I was scared. But pretty quickly realized this wasn’t the Black Death. Shame on the media et al not catching up to that.

Not to mention the murderous blunder of sending recovered-yet-contagious patients back to old-age homes full of vulnerable targets so as not to "stress the health care system".

My sister-in-law is a PA and worked in the COVID ward of her hospital. Ventilation isn't and never was something that is done lightly, and it especially wasn't something that was done lightly in the early days of COVID given the fears of a shortage. She said that people didn't go on ventilators until they couldn't breathe on their own and were otherwise going to die. I'll grant you that some of the early COVID treatments were later found to be sub-optimal, but in those early days they were the best that we had, and we can't fault the medical profession for not knowing everything that we know now.

I’m not “blaming” anyone in the sense of saying those doctors should’ve known. But we later found out things like cpap machines were much more efficient

My hypothesis remains unfalsified: the media reaction and government reaction was a tool for societal changes, not a tool for saving lives.

It was like those SF movies where some monster, disaster, or disease is ravaging the city, and a plucky scientist shows up saying the response has been all wrong. Only, instead of the authorities or the military listening and solving the problem in half an hour of screentime, they lock him out of the building and the media starts calling him an anti-science conspiracy theorist.

+1 to the all of the above and some of my experience with mandates:

By Sep 2021, I saw about 40% compliance with State-required retail mask mandates in the red parts of Nevada.

By Mar 2022, I saw about 10% or less compliance with the Federal public transportation mandate on city busses in Denver and its suburbs.

A similar sentiment has been on my mind for the last few weeks as well. I was sitting around listening to music one day and just thought about the last two or three years of my life and how bizarre that period of time was. In real time we saw media conglomerates shape how millions of people thought and behaved, saw western democratic leaders reveal themselves to be authoritarians, forced millions of other people to get vaccines against their will, and now, just a couple years later, all pretend as if none of it ever happened at all. Trudeau recently came out at a press conference and explained how he never "actually" forced anyone to get the vaccine, and just "put the incentives" in front of them. Leaders of developed countries literally gaslighting the population. The worst part about it is that eventually everyone will believe that as well.

I don’t think most of it was that new. We’ve had a full century of practice at manufactured consent and manufactured responses. George Orwell was talking about it in 1984, and Aldous Huxley talked about it in Brave New World. The COVID response mostly revealed that fact to the public, or at least those able to grasp it without falling for various conspiracy theories. Mass media has always been like this and is still like this, the idea of news as the first draft of history has always been a bit of propaganda as they’re not really giving history in an honest way but the first draft of narrative. They’re writing the stuff as they want it remembered, as the cathedral wants future generations to think about it.

You've got to mention Walter Lippmann and his 1922 book Public Opinion

That makes it 101 years, justifying the full century rhetoric :-)

The worst part of all this is unlike any other disaster, say loss of immediate family or assault, I have absolutely no one in real life I can talk to, completely uncensored, about how I felt about it or how I feel now. At best all I have ever had are online friends and anonymous spaces like this one, baduk and LockdownSkepticism. Everywhere else just dogpiled you.

Allow me to jerk the circle, once again, along with everyone else. For the past decade and a half I had fully come around around to the idea that my exceptionalism at critical thinking and questioning authority was a false shadow created by being a teenage edge lord.

I discovered that virtually nobody I know in meatspace was capable of looking beyond fear and hate, even when faced with obvious lies and propaganda. I am outnumbered (if not outgunned) and have felt persistently alone in the world for 3 years now.

It sucks.

How can I trust that they have any deeply held convictions or principles at all, if the sentiment comes and goes that easily?

Why would you trust that?

In my estimation the vast majority are largely amoral and just go with the flow. My wife is mostly amoral for example, she doesn't have moral opinions on almost anything. She isn't stupid or malevolent, she just doesn't care.

When I want to talk about some moral issue she just zones out because she gets bored. She wants to talk about what happened at her work or what she is planning for the garden or the baby room.

Very few people have moral opinions as anything more than accessories or as part of cheerleading for their team. People do get incredibly passionate about cheering/booing though.

Based and error-theory pilled

This is one of the reasons why I'm of the opinion that democracy sucks at scale.

I'm embarrassed to say it took me until I was 30 to de-quokka and finally realise that people were voting for what was good for themselves and not what was good for society.

My wife is mostly amoral for example, she doesn't have moral opinions on almost anything. She isn't stupid or malevolent, she just doesn't care.

When I want to talk about some moral issue she just zones out because she gets bored.

Does that have any impact on how you view your relationship with her? Or are you more like, "I didn't get with her because of her political opinions, so why would I care if she doesn't have any"?

It impacts my view on her a bit but not the relationship, it might even be healthy, we complement each other.

How do you trust then that if the winds of sentiment change she won’t peace out as she has no hiding underlining principles?

I don't think (stated) underlying principles are in any way trustworthy. I believe in people conforming to their nature and self interest.

Turn the switch off and it's all forgotten. Like it never even happened.

One thing that's pretty funny about it if you're able to remove yourself from the darkness a bit is that the people who still seem to be holding some remaining fear are almost exclusively the smartest and the dumbest. Where I live, it's basically only underclass people and academic types that are still wearing masks. The people in the smart group seem to be operating on the basis that nothing changed and that Covid is still very concerning because of long Covid and therefore they will continue to mask up; nothing much changed between the post-vax summer when masks were still required and the present time, so they're able to think through it be confused at why people dropped masking. The dumbest seem to just kind of keep doing the same thing without any meaningful thought behind it - I see these people walking around with masks on their chins still, in 2023.

The middle, the ordinary grill-pilled Americans, seem perfectly content with the idea that two years of deranged behavior successfully stopped the new plague, so everything can be normal again.

It's the bell curve meme!

Ah, here we are.

There's a family in my neighborhood -- mom, dad, three kids -- that takes walks together every day. Still fully masked even outdoors.

I think mom relaxed the rule for one of her kids. She was out with just the one kid when we ended up crossing paths on a narrow trail and as soon as she saw me she was calling to her kid to mask up. It also wasn't a normal surgical mask, it was some kind of child ventilator with a rubber seal.

This is a wealthy area of the Pacific Northwest, so they're probably on the smart end.

In my corner of the world I see a lot more Women than men wearing masks. And my suspicion is that they do it just to forego Make up for half of their face, instead of for any real concern over Covid.

I have a similar experience, except that I've heard them say that they use it to not feel ugly. The eyes tend to be the most attractive part of someone's face and it's relatively easy to make them look better using make-up. It's harder with a mouth, chin, jawline, cheeks etc.

I could have written this post, I feel the exact same, the whole thing made me even more cynical about the average person. But what creeps me out the most is

Turn the switch on, and people who are ordinarily perfectly reasonable are frothing at the mouth saying you're killing grandma, you're a menace to society, you're a dirty plague rat. Turn the switch off and it's all forgotten. Like it never even happened. They don't even think about it anymore.

What does this phenomenon really tell us? To me, the implications are quite disturbing.

When I've gone around loudly proclaiming to be right about something (online or IRL) and then turn out to be wrong, I feel highly embarrassed when I get called out after the fact. In my better moments I respond with humility, and in my worse moments I respond with rage or misdirection. But the point is that I respond somehow, I feel something.

But a lot of the covid fanatics seem to simply not care at all that they were wrong. When you call them on it, you might get a shrug and a "things were different then," or even just a vague confused stare -- why are you still talking about that? Don't you know it's $currentyear? Haven't you heard about Putin?

When they were shouting about killing grandma or plague rats, I had understood those utterances as words that containing meaning or argument. But was I wrong? Were the vast majority of people literally just making mouth noises that simply signalled their alignment with the current Correct Opinion? I'm not being metaphorical here -- the Covid hysteria makes me wonder whether a large majority of our population just parrots slogans to jockey for status without engaging their thinking brains at all (outside of status calculation I guess)? If so, this would explain their apathy about their argument being wrong. "What argument?" they might respond.

Yes, it's not news that the average person is not a deep thinker. Everyone here is aware of that. But to me, the above implies that many people are not just "not deep thinkers." If they were, that wouldn't bother me much -- they and myself would be essentially the same in that we both think, just to different degrees.

But maybe these people are not just shallow thinkers, but non-thinkers. The difference between thinkers and non-thinkers is huge, and I am weirded out by the idea. It almost feels like sharing a society with a bunch of p-zombies (EDIT: to be clear, I don't actually think these people are literal p-zombies). Recent memes about internal monologues and "The Breakfast Question" come to mind. If this model is closer to the truth, it changes my outlook on many things.

Were the vast majority of people literally just making mouth noises that simply signalled their alignment with the current Correct Opinion?

Yes.

But a lot of the covid fanatics seem to simply not care at all that they were wrong. When you call them on it, you might get a shrug and a "things were different then," or even just a vague confused stare -- why are you still talking about that? Don't you know it's $currentyear? Haven't you heard about Putin?

I feel a lot of them have either made a subconscious decision to just move past the COVID meme, or internalized the initial reports/sense that the vaccinations were a lot more effective a difference maker than they are and assume that they did 98% of the work in bringing back normalcy.

To me, even that rudimentary cause-and-effect thought (if I shout the right slogans, covid will go away) would be comforting because it would mean that there's at least some thinking going on. But my uncomfortable, reluctant suspicion is that a sizeable minority (at least?) don't even engage at that level. They're simply not engaging at all.

I think we all actually kind of do this sort of thing in certain situations. I know nothing about sports other than what I've gleaned from others' conversations and watching my dad yell at the TV growing up. That said I can still make comments in a casual conversation along the lines of "Yep, that's our $NFL_TEAM, choking at the 1 yard line, as is tradition, haha." When I say that, I'm really just making mouth noises that convey "We are similar! I wish to be friendly!" I'm communicating zero information about my opinions or thoughts on sports, even though it might seem otherwise. I'm not actually engaging my brain at all.

Maybe this is actually a good thing? Perhaps most people were, after all, born to live simple lives and have no desire or ability to form coherent political thoughts? It really gives me a dim view of democracy, dimmer than the one I had before covid.

Maybe this is actually a good thing? Perhaps most people were, after all, born to live simple lives and have no desire or ability to form coherent political thoughts? It really gives me a dim view of democracy, dimmer than the one I had before covid.

It may be just an issue of abstracting. Politics, beyond the very simple, involves a lot of abstractions, and the capacity or interest of many people to handle more than a few simple abstractions at the same time (as in doing short multiplication or division) seems limited. As David Stove put it when defending positivism against the criticism that it robs life of the spiritual and transcendent wonders of religion and philosophy:

For when common humanity does venture in thought beyond the concerns of common life, it is a thousand to one that atrocity, and not just absurdity, will result. Do the scenes of Tehran, Kabul, Beirut in 1986 disgust and appall you? Then learn to see in them the scenes of Alexandria in 415, of Toulouse in 1218, of Munster in 1535, and all the other famous beauty-spots of your beloved Christian centuries.

Yes, I think you're right, and I think the right response when we see people reacting to things that are completely beyond their realm of understanding is compassion and empathy, not condescension and cynicism.

The fact that modern society is able to keep us from helping less educated people around us through top-down silencing and oppression is really rather sick, I don't necessarily lay the blame on people reacting with cynicism in this thread when they also are met with overwhelming social forces that tried to silence them as well. But on a visceral level it strikes me as ugly when smart people reduce dumber people in this way though I can also see how smarter people are being degraded by the powers at the same time.

"When they were shouting about killing grandma or plague rats, I had understood those utterances as words that containing meaning or argument."

I think that, fundamentally, most people just wanted Covid to go away and to return to normality as fast as possible. The governments, after feeling the initial high of the all-in-the-same-boat feeling of Spring 2020 and the relatively normal (in most parts of the West, if memory servers) summer 2020, got worried that they were in for a long slog after Covid "returned" in autumn/winter 2020/2021 and then got fixated on the idea that there is One Weird Trick they can do to make it go away. And there sure was a good candidate for One Weird Trick: the vaccines.

I think this really explains the rest. The Western governments really, truly weren't, as some conspiracy theorists claimed, trying to use the pandemic to re-engineer the society; more than anything, they just wanted the pandemic to go away and to return to "life as it was". At the same time, they felt they couldn't just do nothing, or many people might die and they'd get blamed for it (many people did die, but since they were at least trying to do something, that at least blunted the criticism.)

If one remembers initial promises about the vaccines, they were actually quite modest, in line to what we now know the vaccine does (ie. not that much). However, at some point the hype cycle got out of control and the governments and everyone else started believing that the One Weird Trick really was here, just vaccinate everyone and Covid is over and no large lockdowns are needed. (This was preceeded by a similar but smaller hype cycle around masks being the One Weird Trick, which was sufficient to make masking a thing that still continues among the hardcore Covidians).

The furious hatred against "grandma-killers" and "plague rats" was, then, really a feeling that it was those people, the anti-vaxxers and Covid-skeptics, who were responsible for the One Weird Trick not working. Politicians, media, ordinary citizens - what they felt was that the vaccines would really work as promised if everyone just was responsible and got the vaccine. And it was of course easier for public opinionmakers to blame a small, already-hated group (antivaxxers were a popular target for disdain even before Covid) than to admit that there really was no One Weird Trick.

Even after the initial vaccine hype cycle, there was another one over the Covid vaccine passports, but even here the tone was already different. The vaccine passports were presented as a way to run down measures for most of the population - only leaving the hated ones to suffer from the measures. Of course this was a doomed and idiotic attempt from the get-go, but it probably served for some to get them to the mindset where they could just start to let go of the measures and the fear. Perhaps this was the real purpose.

Thus, it also followed that once it became really clear the vaccine really wasn't what the hype cycle promised, everything just died down. It turned out that the way to make "Covid go away" was simply to run the measures down and stop worrying about Covid. At least here, this was aided greatly by Russia starting the Ukraine War and this, then, becoming the huge global thing to worry about. And once this happened people just mostly also actively started to forgot just how crazy the preceeding years were, precisely because they wanted to forget it all.

This is lazy and ahistorical apologia for criminal malfeasance on a global scale.

The medical industry literally produced a virus, let it out into the populace, killed millions, and then got governments to pay them billions and mandate that people buy their products, and continue getting regular injections for all time!

But yes, everyone was well intentioned and kind, it was a bit of a rough time, we all had a reaction, blah blah blah.

Trump proved polling, politics and media was bullshit. Covid proved the medical industry is heinous bullshit. And the po-faced attempts at reasonability now, three years too late, is pathetic.

It's my honest appraisal of the situation and the motivations among the politicians and other media types, based on a close monitoring of the situation and numerous conversations I've had with such people.

continue getting regular injections for all time!

But... that hasn't happened? How many people have gotten a Covid injection for the last year or so? Or in the future?

Yes, the attempt failed.

The mandate still hasn't been rescinded (for three more days), it's just been gutted by the courts for being wildly unconstitutional, and everyone is ignoring it and pretending it doesn't exist. Including you!

The Western governments really, truly weren't, as some conspiracy theorists claimed, trying to use the pandemic to re-engineer the society; more than anything, they just wanted the pandemic to go away and to return to "life as it was".

I think government leaders largely deferred to public health authorities, and those public health authorities saw this as the opportunity of their lifetime to Do Good and Make A Difference. Bureaucrats being bureaucrats, they weren't keen to acknowledge any shortcomings or limits to their knowledge, and put their hands in all the pies they could fit in. Many of those bureaucrats had a very ideological take on what Doing Good looks like. My state banned fishing and then later on one of its counties promoted having sex through a hole in a shower curtain.

They also never put any safeguards against abuse in place. Not just on health departments but no level of government put in any explicit limits on what could be done, or requiring legislative approval, or even gave an explicit deadline of under what conditions the government would declare it over. It was a blank check, heck a credit card with no limits that only expired when those who had been given the card declared they no longer needed it.

And to me, I see some elements of what red-pillers call a shit-test; one we clearly failed as a society. Most people just meekly accepted whatever the government decided whether or not it made sense. In fact, the people were more upset at the pushback than anything else. And while I don’t think the government did all of this with future applications in mind, I think the government has basically learned that it can actually get away with quite a lot if it provided that the people are frightened enough.

My state banned fishing and then later on one of its counties promoted having sex through a hole in a shower curtain.

Link please

Fishing ban: https://www.spokesman.com/stories/2020/mar/25/statewide-fishing-ban-ordered-by-washington-wildli/

It lasted until May 5. No accommodation for people who obtain significant amounts of food from catching their own.

Shower curtains for sex: https://lynnwoodtimes.com/2020/12/07/covexxx-19-has-king-county-public-health-gone-too-far/

Y'know, I wonder how COVID affected the "glory hole" tag on various sites...

Surely you know about how Canada's CDC actually recommended gloryholes for pandemic-safe sex, which is the most ridiculous and short-sighted wannabe bandwagon jumping thing I've ever seen:

https://www.complex.com/life/2020/07/canadian-health-officials-suggest-glory-holes-for-sex-during-covid19

More comments

I think that a large part of public health authority decisionmaking was simply trying to take burden off their workers, who often were particularly horribly overburdened at the start of the crisis but without matching bonuses or pay increases (since the future of the budgets of those institutions had also, for obvious reasons, gone completely up in the air). Basically the only way to placate the workers they had at this point was lobbying for restrictions in hopes that it would somehow reduce this burden of work. However, increasingly as the crisis went on, this was also countered and balanced by businesses lobbying for reopening (including vaccine passports as a partial mean of reopening).

The Western governments really, truly weren't, as some conspiracy theorists claimed, trying to use the pandemic to re-engineer the society; more than anything, they just wanted the pandemic to go away and to return to "life as it was". At the same time, they felt they couldn't just do nothing, or many people might die and they'd get blamed for it (many people did die, but since they were at least trying to do something, that at least blunted the criticism.)

While I think the second part is surely correct -- ass-covering is an age-old political first-responder -- I'm not sure that many governments were anxious for life to return to "as it was." It need not be conspiratorial, but as the underlying theme of progressivism is that 'everything is terrible until we achieve utopia,' there was a lot of incentive for blue governors, urban mayors and unions to try to leverage the crisis as an opportunity for systemic change to some pretty fundamental aspects of life, like remote work and schooling, the operation of elections, etc. That these things have mostly returned to normal was, in my understanding, not without resistance and only because of normie insistence on "as it was."

Globally speaking there was, in the end, fairly little difference between right-wing and left-wing politicians in the harshness of Covid measures - or, rather, there were both right-wingers and left-wingers going with heavy, proactive measures approach (say, Orban and Ardern) or anything from light to non-existent measures (AMLO in Mexico, Bolsonaro in Brazil). It's not something one can strictly blame on progressivism, and the crisis certainly was also used for all sorts of agendas by all sorts of parties.

If one remembers initial promises about the vaccines, they were actually quite modest, in line to what we now know the vaccine does (ie. not that much).

Strong disagree, as outlined in this post.

The specificized success criterion was preventing infection. The stated effect was preventing infection. Anyone that now tells you that the scientists were only testing whether it made individuals less likely to die is badly misinformed or is telling a whopper.

Underlined. I was wrong on this one. They didn't study "transmission", because stopping transmission would be unnecessary if the vaccine stopped infection.

I think Stefferi is right if he is talking about expectations for the vaccine before the first trial results were released. Especially focusing on scientific expectations, not the partisan "If Trump release a vaccine before the election it'll be rat poison".

Sure, fair enough. That was the consensus among immunologists I was chatting as early as March of 2020, from my recollection of in person conversations, that if we want something quick, that's feasible, but that it isn't likely to work all that well and that the tradeoffs on safety for rushing are probably not great. All in all, I don't think Covid or the vaccines really brought anything that was very scientifically surprising, but publicly broadcast narratives were far enough from actual science that people kept being surprised.

Yes, I'm talking about the very first chatter there was on the vaccine, ie. some months after March 2020. I didn't quite get /u/WalterOdim's point about FDA, and by Dec 2020 the hype cycle was already running hard.

I get the feeling this has been uncontroversial among the upper classes for most of history, and universal suffrage is a radical idea, especially when paired with centralized media communications.

Simply recalling being in the classroom in high school, or remembering the last time I drove on the interstate, is enough to make what you wrote resonate very intuitively.

That said, don’t be too hasty. We can’t read everyone’s minds, and I myself irl am indistinguishable from a grillpilled go-alonger. I nod in complete agreement when reading @Tophattingston, but the most disobedience I ever engaged in was forcing people to provide me a mask if I was required to have one.

There are people who will stand aside and allow the DeSantises of the world to make their own changes. And the current regime will look to us and conclude that we’re among the p-zombies for having our silent wishes granted.

Learning that universal suffrage was universally regarded as insane prior to the mid-19th century (and even then, the only change was in the U.S.!) is one of those things I can't "unsee." It just explains so many liberal democratic dysfunctions (see Legutko's book).

Fair point about not being able to read minds. I don't want to take my original point too far; I don't think that the people I'm talking about are literal p-zombies. Of course they have an inner life and (IMO) share with me the inherent dignity (in the old sense of "honor and duty") of being made in the image and likeness of God. But maybe they shouldn't be involved in the political decision making process.

The problem is the incentives and asymmetry makes it rational to follow herd behavior. the downside of non-compliance is more expensive than the cost of compliance. wearing a mask is easier than possibly being fired or not having access to services. the TSA knows that a lot of people will choose screening over not flying

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